Blog Edmar Lyra

O blog da política de Pernambuco

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São João para alavancar prefeitos 

O mês de junho chegou e com ele as festas juninas, no último sábado a cidade de Caruaru fez a abertura do São João com a presença da governadora Raquel Lyra e do prefeito Rodrigo Pinheiro, que tem tudo para faturar política e eleitoralmente com o evento. Isso porque o festejos juninos de Caruaru movimentam toda a economia da cidade, causando uma sensação de bem-estar generalizada e deixando um importante ativo político para o prefeito.

Além de Rodrigo Pinheiro, outro prefeito que pode faturar muito bem com o São João é o de Petrolina, Simão Durando, que também está no terceiro ano de gestão e buscará a reeleição em outubro. Nas gestões que antecederam Miguel Coelho, Petrolina tinha um São João tímido, que era visto como São João do Vale do São Francisco, desde sua chegada em 2017 o evento foi potencializado tanto em tamanho quanto em atrações e destacou-se entre os principais eventos do país.

Coube a Simão Durando manter a hegemonia e mais uma vez o São João de Petrolina tem tudo para ser um sucesso absoluto de público, de organização e de atrações. Rodrigo e Simão têm em comum o fato de suas cidades terem grande potencial turístico e cultural, e suas gestões são bem-avaliadas pela população, o que deverão alavancar suas postulações à reeleição, uma vez que passado o São João a classe política já se debruçará nas convenções e consequentemente na construção do projeto eleitoral municipal. Findar o São João com uma excelente aceitação em Caruaru e Petrolina será meio caminho andado para uma campanha vitoriosa.

Distância regulamentar – Vários prefeitos de capitais e de grandes colégios eleitorais têm evitado vinculação ao PT e ao presidente Lula. Os prefeitos do Recife, João Campos, e do Rio de Janeiro, Eduardo Paes, decidiram não entregar a vice de suas chapas ao PT, e outros prefeitos têm feito aliança com o PL de Jair Bolsonaro porque consideram que Bolsonaro hoje tira menos votos do que Lula na disputa municipal.

Sem novidades –  A bem da verdade é que o governo Lula não disse a que veio em um ano e meio de gestão, pois seus programas são apenas reedições de governos anteriores a exemplo do Bolsa Família e do PAC, tornando-se um museu de grandes novidades. Para conquistar a reeleição Lula tem que entregar mais do que está entregando, pois o sentimento anti-Bolsonaro fomentado em 2022 começou a se dissipar e um adversário que atraia a direita e dialogue com o centro poderá ser fatal para o PT que faz um governo analógico e desconectado com os avanços sociais.

Erro estratégico – Aliados do ex-prefeito Elias Gomes já reconhecem que a ida para o PT pode ter sido um erro fatal para sua postulação. Uma vez que se permanecesse no MDB teria mais condições de selar alianças num segundo turno e no primeiro turno atrairia o eleitor lulista por osmose, uma vez que as duas opções além dele estão alinhadas com o bolsonarismo.

Inocente quer saber – Lula irá se recuperar ou terminará este mandato sepultando seu legado dos governos anteriores?

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